Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.284667 4.598530 4.939627 5.340773 5.803514 6.325469 6.965969
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.859321 4.265737 4.732226 5.316236 6.041402 6.932178 8.143759
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.562336 4.030405 4.592011 5.333520 6.317362 7.629312 9.617207
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.325177 3.837267 4.475703 5.360083 6.609668 8.420496 11.513315
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.194521 3.761330 4.496593 5.569146 7.196829 9.807480 15.056623
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.937226 3.498124 4.242577 5.362568 7.139747 10.189540 17.113373
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.815100 3.403029 4.207354 5.469315 7.602522 11.657645 22.998555
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.692086 3.295916 4.143898 5.525118 8.002080 13.223415 32.000415
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.527072 3.117702 3.960495 5.365775 7.984384 13.914363 40.180300
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.369902 2.940344 3.764024 5.161864 7.844975 14.285076 49.066345
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.339522 2.942721 3.839384 5.430094 8.729950 18.078999 134.426918
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.371145 3.038097 4.069843 6.020089 10.580063 28.109561 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.250583 2.908627 3.946037 5.969237 11.008308 34.560914 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.128668 2.768959 3.792958 5.838902 11.201624 41.297464 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.029731 2.658745 3.680471 5.777239 11.606590 53.590167 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.943902 2.563643 3.585761 5.740260 12.111261 75.769030 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.894986 2.524251 3.585910 5.917311 13.539065 188.171469 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.791908 2.390426 3.403581 5.642128 13.075975 220.840077 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.741412 2.340091 3.370680 5.720122 14.199272 4627.372687 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.688931 2.283147 3.320299 5.747845 15.186032 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.615904 2.187848 3.189772 5.551425 14.924727 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.543760 2.090927 3.050260 5.315230 14.348515 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.529477 2.091126 3.097796 5.580029 16.917592 NaN NaN